Management "took a step backward" to use the credit line (which increased debt) to pay a deferred payment and other adjustments. Now the market is going to watch that free cash flow progress to make sure the debt can be repaid in a reasonable amount of time. That depressed the stock price to an extremely low level. Even though that strategy was wildly successful, the market worried about sustained low prices due to a depression. In that year, management shut down production completely for a while to wait for a commodity price recovery and lived off the hedging program. It also seems unlikely that something like 2020 will repeat. However, some costs like administrative are now spread over more production and so will be less per barrel. The market worries about price declines ending up with the company reporting losses (even company destroying losses). The key idea here is that management is trying to communicate that corporate profitability is improving. Ring Energy Profitability Progress Through Fiscal Year 2022 (Ring Energy First Quarter 2022, Earnings Conference Call Slides) That means that those with a hedging program are valued similarly to those without a hedging program because big chunks of the market ignore the hedging results. Hence, a lot of prices are declining in the industry despite steady profit progress. A consistent hedging program is generally viewed as a zero-sum game by the market. This should make it easier for shareholders to see the benefits of the capital program (and really management decisions in general). The hedging program is there to smooth out the commodity price gyrations. This is largely due to overall better realized prices. Management did report in the presentation that the margin has improved. The other major effect is that if commodity prices remain at decent levels, then the hedging program allows for steadily better-realized prices net of hedging. That was largely due to the acquisition made recently. In this case, shareholders can see the progress made from the fourth quarter to the first quarter. Ring Energy Calculation Of Adjusted Earnings Per Share (Ring Energy First Quarter 2023, Earnings Press Release)Īdjusted Earnings is an attempt to take out the effects of the hedging program when reporting results. In absolute terms, the company set a few records as noted above.īut what is important to shareholders is that the company made per share earnings progress when compared to the first quarter of fiscal year 2022. Management made an accretive acquisition that blunted the effect of lower commodity prices. This management did exactly what shareholders would expect management to do when faced with a declining commodity price. Ring Energy Comparison of Fourth Quarter 2022, And First Quarter 2023 (Ring Energy First Quarter 2023, Earnings Conference Call Slides) That is a big change from 50 years ago, when the largely conventional industry took more time to adjust to periods of oversupply. The latest technology has a lot of wells, whether conventional or not, declining overall at rates that almost "guarantee" a quick adjustment to overproduction during times of weak commodity prices. But as long as an acceptable minimal return is achieved, then the primary future risk is usually seen as more or less profits over that minimum amount. So, profits remain uncertain throughout the life of the well. The wells have a relatively long production life. But in the meantime, the company can demonstrate reasonable profits from capital expenditures because the cash flow in the future has been set by the hedging program. That will nearly always correct one way or the other. In the latest case, it would appear that oil demand and commodity price actions are going in opposite directions. Instead, the hedging program is there to justify capital expenditures and to assure lenders of a cash flow should a downturn last. Those who think that hedges matter to the market only need to look at the latest stock price action to realize that the market does not value the hedging program at all. Yet this is exactly what the hedging program is designed to prevent. So, when commodity prices drop, then the stock price follows regardless of the hedging results.īut there is also some investor confusion that if the company reported a certain level of profits when commodity prices were great, then surely the company should be reporting losses in the first quarter. The reason appears to be that the stock market values the company based upon the prices received, without hedging. This is something that I have seen in the commodity business for a very long time. Ring Energy ( NYSE: REI) reported profit progress despite a commodity price drop. (Note: This article was in the newsletter on and has been updated as needed.)
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herbal supplements, skin care and cosmetic products, among others. is surprised to learn that people are fascinated by his skin: “This is probably one of the sillier things I’ve come across, but I’ll take it. Vox Nutrition is a private label producer of vitamins and nutraceutical supplements. Noxzema has worked so well he’s also got his younger brother using it, and he says it’s transformed his skin too. When he does apply, it’s Kiehl’s Ultra Facial Cream, which he got from a makeup artist while working on The Office. He doesn’t even use moisturizer on a regular basis - only if he remembers, which is rare. GeloVox 20 Pastilles is a food supplement in the form of pastille, intended to relieve hoarseness and extinctions of voice. Hemp Oil Supplements, Sports Nutrition Supplements, Skin Care products. Then he rinses his skin with cold water to “close his pores.” And then … that’s it. Services/Products: Vox Nutrition is here to help you every step of the way. Basic manicure is included with this product to help nutrition you nails while. He starts off with hot water to “open up his pores.” Then he applies the Noxzema, which he “rubs in like soap,” and then washes it off with hot water. Spa manicure with hot paraffin treatment, deeply moisturizes dry skin and. The method, says B.J., is as important as the product. “You can get it anywhere - I’ve learned that with alcohol too, to try to have a favorite brand you can get anywhere.” “I buy two jars a year you don’t need a lot and the jars are big.” The drugstore cleanser is also easy to find, which B.J. “I’m probably their most loyal customer,” he says. His mom instructed him to wash his face with Noxzema twice a day, and, according to B.J., the acne did in fact go away. None of it worked,” said Novak, whose poreless skin will soon be all over his new film, Vengeance. Our Collagen Gummies are delicious while promoting healthy joints, bones, and skin. “I tried Oxy and Stridex and Clearasil and everything they advertised on TV at the time for me to use. Essential Nutrients To Help Maintain Healthy Skin Hair & Nails. Private labeling skin care products can help make your dreams of seeing your. Isn’t it time you see some of the benefits from this growing industry Here you’ll find the top 5 reasons you should private label skin care products and get a piece of the market pie. He was first introduced to the classic cleanser by his mom at 12 years old when he struggled with acne. Private label nutritional supplements & cosmetics, including vitamins, sports nutrition, herbal supplements, skin care products, pet supplies & on-demand. 5 Reasons to Private Label Skin Care Products. Its glasslike quality looks like the result of lasers and facials, but as it turns out, B.J.’s skin is attributable to a single drugstore product: Noxzema. Though not a skin-care spokesperson, you can see B.J.’s porcelain mug on lots of random skin-adjacent products, like Calvin Klein cologne, hair clippers, and face paint in Uruguay, thanks to a public-domain image that has circulated around the globe. An Instagram Story post from does, in fact, have very nice skin. At the same time, many disabled women and women of size use waterĪerobics and aquatfitness as accessible paths to self-care. I know many men hold these stories, too,īut they do not so quickly share them with me, gender scripts being what Theįreeflow of water has often hindered clear sight of the cruelty of division.Įvery woman/gender-queer person I know has stories of bullying and teasingīy the pool side, getting inculcated into the regimes of self-governance,ĭiet culture, and body policing. Water can be a site of conscious and unconscious political articulation. We are not all equal in the water – unfettered, free, floaty. She is holding another white woman in herĪrms, one hand under head, one under knees, moving the spine, attentive. Stephanie Heit Image Description: Petra during her formal Watsu training, in a pool inįlorida, in her exam session. 1: Petra holding a participant while giving Watsu. Meandered, wafted, diluted, and concentrated as medium meets bodymind. These pages of freewriting, the questions above found answers - often It took a familiarĪnd much loved mechanism to get me going again: the freewrite, in company,Ī staple of the creative modalities of the international artist collective I do in landed dance work to capture images and thoughts. The pool is incompatible with my usual quick dash to the notebook, something In intense swimming, in my inability to write after hours in the pool. I had experienced a form of ungrounded voicelessness Not write, my nervous system literally too floaty and too tired to putįingers to the keyboard. How can I engage disability studies and trans studies fields in my witnessing?ĭuring a week of Watsu training, in six daily hours in the water, I could.Can I experience spaces of gender fluidity and desire formation in aquatic.How will issues of body shame, body policing, and sensuality emerge in.What kind of bodies surround me in the pool?.How do people experience their bodies? How do they move?.Who will be my co-workshop participants?.Some of the questions I hoped to engage in my explorations Of disability, race, class, body comfort, and age, and to write a creative Way through a training session with an attention to the lived experiences User engaging in self-care and community health. Of size, complexly identifying as queercrip, a life-long dancer, and wheelchair Set out to write about my experiences as a middle-aged white disabled woman In fall 2016, I began training in water-based movement. Many years, my work has been at the intersection of movement and writing,įeminist somatics and politicized bodies. Performance studies lens to look at women’s experiences in aquafitness. The day of water work chronicled in this essay emerges from my (Petra’s)Įxploration of water-based movement training, using a women’s studies and Of the flows and undertows of somatic practice. Through shared swimming, conversation, and writing, they became conscious The teamĬonceptualized their self-care in a range of different ways: as political,Īs queered women’s labour, as deeply personal, and as forcefully communal. Kuppers’ initial queercrip aqua-fitness research, and from a series ofĬommunal post-swim free-writes in which the group meditated on boundariesĪnd contiguity, on contagious laughter and demonstrative peace. It follows the thoughts of four disabilityĬulture scholars and artists who went swimming together and reflected onĪrtful methods of public somatic presence. Public Intimacies: Water Work in Play An essay hosted by Petra Kuppers, with VK Preston, Pam Block,Īnd Kirsty Johnston Petra Kuppers, Professor, University of Michigan petra umich edu VK Preston, Assistant Professor, University of Toronto vk preston utoronto.ca Pamela Block, Professor, Stony Brook University pamela block Kirsty Johnston, Associate Professor, University of BritishĬolumbia Kirsty Johnston ubc.ca Abstract As a free-spirited individual, Chloe became a teenage mother when she got pregnant with Emily and has struggled to fulfill the responsibilities of motherhood ever since. Chloe Kmetko (played by Susan Ward) is Emily and Brian's mother.Although she does not appear in Season 3, her name is mentioned three times. Emily then moves to Las Vegas to live with her godmother, cherishing the memories of her time in gymnastics. She decides to quit gymnastics rather than have an abortion, as advised by the national chairman. At the Hungarian meeting, Emily discovers she is pregnant with Damon's child due to not using protection. She later loses her virginity to Damon, but they break up a few weeks later. Emily's gymnastics career faces challenges when she is arrested for stealing her brother's medication during a seizure. She develops a romantic relationship with Damon, her coworker at The Pizza Shack and an aspiring songwriter. Despite the rule against having a job, Emily works nights and weekends at The Pizza Shack to help support her family, in addition to her gymnastics training. Emily Kmetko (played by Chelsea Hobbs) joins The Rock as the newest member after being recruited by Marty, who noticed her practicing at the YMCA in Fresno.Kim ran for the Rock Board but faced a setback when a secret about her daughter was revealed. Although she took a break at one point, she later resumed her role as the gym's manager. Kim works as a manager at The Rock alongside Summer van Horne. She often advises Payson on issues related to beauty and femininity. As a no-nonsense stay-at-home mom, Kim provides stability and moral guidance for her family and those around her. Kim Keeler (played by Peri Gilpin) is the mother of Payson and Becca.In the series finale, there are indications of a potential reconciliation between Sasha and Summer as they discuss regrets and possibilities. She later returns to support Lauren when she undergoes open heart surgery. After a revelation about Lauren's actions, Summer leaves Steve and Lauren once again. However, when she discovers Sasha's stance on Emily's pregnancy, she decides to marry someone who shares her moral views and accepts Steve's proposal. Summer eventually reunites with Steve, and they plan to get married. However, they mutually agreed to break up before Sasha's departure from The Rock. There is a romantic tension between Sasha and Summer, leading to an inappropriate kiss and a passionate kiss later on. Summer is the current manager of The Rock and lives her life based on her Christian beliefs, which often amuse and frustrate Sasha. She shares with Lauren that she had a promiscuous past before finding faith and refers to herself as "the school slut." After breaking up with Steve, she develops a close relationship with Lauren, acting as a maternal figure. Summer van Horne (played by Candace Cameron Bure) is Steve Tanner's ex-girlfriend and former assistant.In the end, there are hints of a possible reconciliation between Sasha and Summer. However, he returns after being visited by Payson, Lauren, and Emily in Romania and eventually becomes the coach of the US Worlds Gymnastics team. He briefly dates Rock manager Summer despite their differing beliefs, but later leaves The Rock because he believes his presence is detrimental to the girls. This is his first coaching job in over five years. Previously, Sasha had to quit coaching after a tragic incident in which a gymnast died from a head injury under his supervision. Sasha's coaching methods include rigorous training exercises as punishment, and he is known for his compassion and support, particularly towards Emily's mother and Payson during her recovery from surgery. He has a strict coaching style but also deeply cares for his gymnasts and wants them to reach their full potential. Sasha is the only Olympic gymnast to have ever defeated Marty and has four Olympic gold medals. Sasha Belov (played by Neil Jackson) is the new coach at The Rock who replaces Marty Walsh after he moves to Denver.The show features various characters, including the gymnasts' families, employees at The Rock, and workers at the local hangout, the Pizza Shack. This fictional series revolves around four teenage gymnasts as they train for the Olympics at the Rocky Mountain Gymnastic Training Center, also known as The Rock. The one-hour drama premiered on ABC Family on June 22, 2009. Make It or Break It is an American television series created by Holly Sorensen. ( October 2015) ( Learn how and when to remove this template message) Please help rewrite it to explain the fiction more clearly and provide non-fictional perspective. This article describes a work or element of fiction in a primarily in-universe style. Thank you for your help and understanding. It is one of the most secure cloud computing services available. Tresorit: Tresorit is a cloud storage, file synchronization and file sharing service which is provided by Tresorit. It is one of the earliest cloud storage services. We will analyze your network logs and will provide you with a solution as soon as possible. Dropbox was developed by two MIT students Drew Houston and Arash Ferdowsi. By completing the steps above and including the results in your support ticket along with your local Log files, you'll greatly help our work to find out exactly what is wrong with your connection. The Tresorit Support team will try to help you to solve your issue as soon as possible. You can find your log files by following this guide. Include the results of the above-mentioned steps.If none of the above-mentioned steps could solve the issue, please create a support ticket:.Please temporarily disable them and check if there is any change in the connection status. There are cases when the firewall services cause connection issues.Make sure to re-establish your VPN connection after the test. If you're behind a VPN, we recommend disable the VPN if possible, then check your connection status with Tresorit. VPN services, can also have an outage or temporary error. If the connection is re-established, your Proxy settings were incorrectly configured or not available. 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When the lights on the side of the sensor pod are fully lit, the Muse S headband is ready to use. An LED light on the side of the sensor pod will show you when its battery is fully charged. While the sensor pod’s battery may already be partially charged initially, the typical charge time from zero takes three hours. Start by plugging the microUSB end of the charging cable into the bottom of the sensor pod and the opposite end into a USB port on your computer to begin the charging process. This is a step that’s listed on the Muse S website, but is not covered within the mobile app. The first time you connect the sensor pod to the headband, make sure you remove the tiny blue protective tab that covers one of the sensors. One end of the headband has an adjustable elastic band to accommodate anyone’s head diameter. Each band is made from a plush and breathable fabric that’s hand-washable. Additional fabric headbands can be purchased separately ($80 each) to accommodate multiple users. The sensor pod easily snaps into the headband. Otherwise, you can plug it into the USB port of your computer. If you want to plug the headband’s sensor pod into an AC outlet to recharge, you’ll need an optional adapter. One box contains the adjustable blue/purple-ish colored headband, and the second box contains the sensor pod that attaches to the headband, along with a microUSB to USB charging cable. Within the main Muse S box are two smaller boxes. OnePlus Buds Z2 noise-cancelling ear buds (sold separately). Shown here is the Muse S headband, the sensor pod that attached to the headband, and a pair of. These can be grouped by the following characteristics: What is. Computing a z-score requires knowledge of the mean and standard deviation of the complete population to which a data point belongs if one only has a sample of observations from the population, then the analogous computation using the sample mean and sample standard deviation yields the t -statistic. Formal Outlier Tests: A number of formal outlier tests have proposed in the literature. 1000, would still be useful, but (compared to a larger random sample) there would be a slightly greater risk of not capturing a real effect in the population. These authors recommend that modified Z-scores with an absolute value of greater than 3.5 be labeled as potential outliers. However, a random sample of an arbitrarily decided sample size, e.g. In this case your original z-scores are not good for much because they are not randomly drawn. If testing is cheap you could go for 99% or even 99.9% and be more confident of not having missed a real effect. The post chooses a sample that results in a power of 95%. You didn't have a random sample because you deliberately selected one that would have a significant z-score.Įven if you did have a random sample, you would by definition expect in about 5% of cases to obtain scores indicating a positive effect when there is no such effect in the population.Īs the blog post you refer to explains, increasing the sample size increases the power of the test, defined as one minus the probability of obtaining non-significant results in the sample given that there is a real treatment effect in the population. However that test depends on having a random sample of the population of interest. Your original z-score tells you that, if the treatment had no effect, there would be less than a 5% chance of obtaining the scores you did obtain. What I don't understand is: What did the z-score of the 1,400 datasets tell me in plain English? What is it good for in this case? The final result (2,046 datasets) showed that Treatment 1 didn't improve anything really and that I can reject the hypothesis: | Treatment | Hits | Conv | % | z-Score | Treatment 1 improves the conversion rate by at least 22% and I can tell with a probability of 95% that this change is not due to chance. I then decided I want at least a 22% improvement of my conversion rate and that I needed 2,046 datasets to tell whether or not this goal was achieved (calculated based on this blog post). So to convert a value to a Standard Score ('z-score'): first subtract the mean, then divide by the standard deviation. In this example, the value 1.7 is 2 standard deviations away from the mean of 1.4, so 1.7 has a z-score of 2. I didn't define a required sample size but just let the test run until a z-score >= 1.65 was reached (which I heard is a bad thing to do). How many standard deviations a value is from the mean."Treatment 1 performs at least 20% better than Control" I didn't define a desired minimum improvement in percentage in my hypothesis, e.However, I figured later that this result lacks two things: This was the result: | Treatment | Hits | Conv | % | z-Score | I made a modification to an element of a page and checked how the changes performed in terms of conversion rates. These articles even suggested that the z-score itself would only show statistical significance if the datasets used to calculate it is large enough. However, I found quite a few websites that explain A/B split-testing without talking much about sample sizes. I know that a z-score gives one an idea how statistically significant the result is that one gets from a split-test. The principle remains the same, and the conclusions remain the same.I'm relatively new to A/B split-testing and can't wrap my brain around the idea of z-scores. We do not distinguish between the estimated population variance where we standardize be \(n-1\) and the sample variance where we standardize by \(n\). Whenever sd equals 1 the variance will equal 1, too. In other words, the SD of \(Z\) equals 1. We arrive at the fact the the sum of the squared z-scores equals \(n\). Remember that SD of some variable \(x\) is defined as: “Customer growth in a number of market segments is up nearly 200 percent. “As online backup becomes a priority for businesses of all sizes, our business offerings are now enjoying growth comparable to our market-leading MozyHome ® consumer service,” said Vance Checketts, chief operating officer for Mozy, Inc. EMC has even integrated Mozy with Iomega ® products to further extend the Mozy backup capabilities. Mozy also has a growing network of 2,500 resellers and partners, including Acxiom and AmeriVault. 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Mozy, Inc., an EMC Company (NYSE:EMC) and the leader in online backup for businesses and consumers, today announced that it has doubled the size of its enterprise and small to medium-size business customer base during the first half of 2008. JEMC s Mozy Online Backup Service Doubles Its Business Customer Base Mozy, Inc., an EMC Company (NYSE:EMC) and the leader in online backup for businesses and consumers, today announced that it has doubled the size of its enterprise and small to medium-size business customer base during the first half of 2008. Energy, Climate Action & Sustainability.APEX Cloud Platform for Red Hat OpenShift. APEX Cloud Platform for Microsoft Azure.APEX Data Storage Services Backup Target.The company has 60,000 business customers globally, 50 petabytes of data collectively. EMC then introduced Mozy services to Australia in 2008. Mozy was acquired by EMC Corporation in 2007 when EMC bought the Mozy developers, Berkley Data Systems for $76 million. Telstra’s range of T-Suite applications include Microsoft Exchange Online, Microsoft Business Productivity Online Suite, Mcafee SaaS Endpoint Protection, MessageLabs Email Protection and Xero Online Accounting with most applications available for a free 30 day trial. They are also able to restore data and back-up the SQL Server and Exchange platforms on Windows. Customers can select data to backup, chose when automatic backups occur and access their history log, configurations and bandwidth usage. A 30 day trial for initial sign-ups of the packages is available for T-Suite customers, with charging to begin after the trial.īoth options include use of SAS70-certified and ISO-compliant datacentres, and Telstra said it ensured that data would encrypted at all stages of the process - before transmission, transit and whilst in storage. Two options are available to SMB customers - one with available space from 10GB to 1TB of data, and another with 5GB to 50GB of backup space. “Remote Backup MozyPro Server and PC are all about simple, convenient data backup and retrieval.” “Catastrophic data loss can wipe out years of work – if not your entire business,” said Marcus Bartram, the telco’s head of Cloud Solutions Marketing within its small and medium business division. Telstra announced today that small to medium businesses would have access to EMC’s Mozy Pro remote backup solution through its T-Suite software as a service platform. Mavis Beacon Teaches Typing is an application software program for teaching touch typing. Mavis Beacon Teaches Typing by Software MacKiev (Mac OS X edition).Mavis Beacon Teaches Typing by Encore (Windows and Mac editions).'PERSONAL COMPUTERS Feedback In Typing Program'. 'Supertypist Mavis Beacon Is A Creation Of Marketing'. ^ MACKLIN, William (November 19, 1995).^ Codex Gamicus:Mavis Beacon Teaches Typing Retrieved October 31, 2019.I was one of three programmers who designed and created the perennial software hits The Chessmaster and Mavis Beacon Teaches Typing.
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